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Asiaweek: 'Failure Is Not An Option' By Arjuna Ranawana 1/9/2001 10:09 am Sat |
[Bahaya atau tidak Azman boleh dinilai dengan kegemarannya yang
ganjil iaitu memandu kereta dan motorsikal sebegitu laju... seorang
yang betul-betul bergeliga tidak menceburi bidang seperti itu. Itu
tanda ada sedikit sewel dalam otaknya itu yang boleh menjahanamkan
bukan sahaja dirinya malah ekonomi negara. Masa yang tinggal kini
sudah semakin singkat kerana hutang-hutang dan bon itu akan matang
sedikit masa lagi. Azman perlu mengemudi ekonomi dengan terlalu laju
jika tidak 'bom' ekonomi akan meletup dulu. Seandainya dia terkandas
dalam kelajuan yang tinggi - doktor yang pakar pun tidak akan mampu
menyelamatkan nyawanya..... SEPTEMBER 7, 2001 Mahathir's new economic hit man, Azman Yahya, is revved up and ready
to remodel Malaysia Inc. Can he do it? An accountant without obvious
political connections, he's got a tough road ahead
By ARJUNA RANAWANA When Malaysian banker Azman Yahya regained consciousness in hospital
a few years ago, his body a mess of fractures, it struck him that he
should curb his fascination for high-speed motor sports. Duly, Azman
retired the 750cc superbike that had been the instrument of his downfall
- and switched to racing souped-up production cars. He may soon be
applying that same lesson in his role as Malaysia's new economic hatchet
man: Go in fast, steer things back on track, but take care not to crash.
"I'm in a hurry to finish this job and get back to the private sector," says
the 37-year-old speedmeister. "Failure for me is not an option."
Just as well Azman has a taste for risky, high-stakes challenges. Last
month the London School of Economics graduate and chartered
accountant became the face of Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad's new
crusade to remodel Malaysia Inc. With a stagnating global economy
beginning to ravage a weakening domestic one - plus growing
complaints about corporate rescues and favoritism - Mahathir could put
off no longer reforms that Malaysia so publicly avoided after the 1997
crisis. Azman probably was chosen because he has what must be a rare
resume in Malaysia. As the head of Danaharta, the government's
asset-management company established in 1998, he has solid reform
credentials. This summer, the prime minister handed him control of the
Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee, an agency set up under the
Ministry of Finance, and appointed him an executive director of Syarikat
Danasaham, a new Treasury-backed group authorized to buy selected
companies. Mahathir added sweeping powers - and instructions to
report directly to the top. The goal: to restructure heavily indebted
companies with a future, bankrupt the ones that look hopeless and
restore the prime minister's tarnished economic legacy.
There is no time to lose. Debt is already dragging down the country's
banks, and the entire economy is showing wear. Analysts predict growth
rates of 0.3%-2% this year - compared to 8.3% in 2000. Manufactured
exports are down 9.1%. Foreign direct investment is being sucked up by
China. And a system of capital controls put in place three years ago -
not to mention a notoriously opaque corporate sector - does little to
entice foreign investors back to the stock market.
Not so many years ago, Malaysia seemed to be thriving as Mahathir
pursued his dream: a booming, world-class corporate sector, aided and
abetted by government, and headed by bumiputra (indigenous Malay)
tycoons. Guided mostly by former finance minister Daim Zainuddin,
Mahathir handpicked promising Malays, delivered to them ownership and
management of government companies, and expected the best. Many of
the largest companies delivered - at least for a time. But some of their
owners got carried away with easy credit. They became known for their
company jets, luxury cars, multiple-room mansions and questionable
management. When the region's 1997 financial crisis hit, favored Malays
such as Renong's Halim Saad and former Malaysia Airlines chief Tajuddin
Ramli were criticized for having rung up extraordinarily high debts.
Before long, whispers about the wisdom of Mahathir's economic plan
grew into a howling chorus of complaint. How long would the
government nurture companies that were performing so poorly? And
what would be done to ensure that losses didn't grow?
Now it is up to Azman, more than any other individual, to provide
answers. He's already started with toll-road owner-operator United
Engineers (Malaysia), formerly Halim's responsibility. The company is still
among Malaysia's biggest, and it's also heavily indebted. Azman intends
to grab UEM by the throat and shake off any dead financial wood.
Indeed, he has similar plans for 14 of the country's most indebted outfits
- plus some rude instructions for banks to share some pain.
That would be none too soon. As far back as April Mahathir recognized
the need for bold action. Then, Malaysia Inc.'s spiritual adviser, Daim
Zainuddin, announced his departure as finance minister. Analysts
pondered whether Mahathir might just be serious about implementing
economic reforms. The prime minister quickly appointed two former
central bankers as key advisers. Last month two young Cambridge
University-trained Malays, both from Azman's Danaharta team, were
moved into government-linked Malaysia Resources Corp. This effectively
sidelined chairman Abdul Rahman Maidin, viewed as a Daim associate,
from a company that controls key media institutions. Such initiatives "will
eventually cause the unraveling of the nexus between politics and
business," says Khairy Jamaludin, an executive committeeman from the
youth wing of Mahathir's party, the United Malays National
Organization. "They have got these jobs not because of whom they
know, but because of what they know."
Is Azman up to the task? "Azman Yahya is a respected person, not a
political player," says Ng Ein Kiam, a fund manager at Indocam Asia in
Singapore. "That has helped calm fears that the exercise might be just an
attempt to talk up the market." Yet Azman is not entirely free of
connections to the government - it's unthinkable that anyone could
achieve such an important post without such links. Azman worked for
two merchant banks with government ties before he arrived at
Danaharta. His overseas education (first-class honors) came thanks to a
government scholarship aimed at high-achieving Malays. Indeed, he is
the perfect product of Mahathir's controversial New Economic Policy,
which doles out special breaks to bumiputra. Few doubt to whom Azman
owes his allegiance. But in Malaysia, a shortage of strong political connections can cut two
ways. At the moment, Azman is talking tough about his new brief. Yet
being the hit man means stamping on some well-connected toes. Many
observers believe Azman has the skill to do the job, but wonder if he has
the fortitude to weather the political storms. "He is yet to be tested in a
situation like this," observes Singapore-based economist Song Seng
Wun of GK Goh research. Counters Azman: "The guidelines set out are
hardly revolutionary. The government has the necessary political will."
The first real test of that will is UEM, the poster-company for many of
Malaysia Inc.'s missteps. Once the crown jewel of the stock exchange,
UEM remains part of Halim's government-linked holding company,
Renong - though Halim quietly quit as UEM chairman before Azman's
appointment. In many ways the old favorite and the new tyro are alike.
Both are bright, middle-class boys who won scholarships to study
overseas. Both like fast cars. Yet Halim was given both ownership and
management control of his companies. Azman and the new bumiputra
have been selected only to manage - and can be sacked if they don't
perfom. Committeeman Khairy says this is the big change in Mahathir's
thinking. "In the past when there was a merging of ownership and
management, there was no accountability and the wishes of the minority
shareholders were often trampled upon," he says. Notes Azman: "The
government is quite serious about institutionalizing shareholdings and
appointing professionals to run companies."
To that end, Azman has signaled that he will brook no nonsense over
UEM. Cross-holdings with Renong, complex corporate maneuverings
and most especially a huge debt have knocked the company's share price
from nearly $8 at the start of 1997 to about 84 cents. To roll over debts
in 1998, UEM issued bonds worth $2.2 billion based on its best asset,
the expressway that links Thailand to Singapore. Payment is due in 2005.
Complicating matters, the thicket of cross-ownerships and debts must
be untangled. Renong has borrowed money from UEM and, in turn,
pledged all its assets back. Halim himself owes UEM $842 million.
Slicing through the confusion, Azman effectively has announced that he
will oversee a $1-billion hostile takeover to buy UEM for the
government. The company will be restructured, pruned if necessary, then
offered back to the market. Azman cheerfully admits that he did not
discuss these moves with Renong or, by implication, with Halim. "That is
the best news," says one Kuala Lumpur-based analyst. Standard &
Poor's ratings agency sees the initiative as a potential watershed in
Mahathir's quantum economic shift. "Will the UEM-Renong restructuring
herald a new corporate environment?" it has queried. "The jury is still
out." But Morgan Stanley securities analyst Daniel Lian is upbeat. "This is
a marked departure from the relative inaction on corporate reform from
1997 to 2000," he says. Adds Andrew Seah, of securities house
Vickers-Ballas: "Whoever can sort this out will be remembered forever."
Next in line for Azman are the other 13 companies mired in debt.
Noncore assets will be sold, he says, and none of the money realized will
be used for new purchases that do not help the company. On the other
side of the coin, banks that do not comply with his rules will be reported
to the Central Bank. "It cannot be denied some [restructuring] cases
have been dragging on due to intransigence on the part of both
borrowers and lenders," he says. "All parties need to get realistic, clean
the slate and start afresh. This has to be done no matter what the
economic projections are." He plans to wrap up the whole sorry mess
within a year. No one is exhaling just yet. In many ways, Malaysia is only just starting
the reform that countries such as South Korea and Thailand began in
1998. "Malaysia has been ahead in debt restructuring in the context of
the rest of the region and we must remain so," says banker Nik Hassan
Nik Mohd Amin, executive vice president of Bumiputra Commerce. Failure
to do so, says OCBC Securities research chief Franklin Tan, will have
"disastrous consequences for the economy."
After the 1997-98 crisis, Mahathir thumbed his nose at the world and
went his own way by imposing currency controls. Now, as reforms slow
elsewhere in the region, he's taking the lead. Azman and Mahathir's
latest crop of favored Malays have been given a mandate to win this
critical race. While speed is of the essence, they should take care: The
country's future is in their hands. |